With the 2014 Crabbies Grand National taking place tomorrow all eyes are firmly fixed on the shorter priced horses with Double Seven's odds diminishing faster than the speed of light with the news that AP was to partner him. Teaforthree remains a steady favourite but at 8/1 doesn't offer much value for those of you who didn't get on him ante-post.
The Package has slowly been creeping up the betting markets and is now as short as 20/1 with Paddy Power but if you like to get a bit more bang for your buck, who are the 2014 Grand National Long-shots that you should be looking at?
On Paddy Power, 23 of the Grand National Runners are priced at 33/1 or more so statistically one or two of them are in with a shot of getting a place. History tells us that a horse at 28/1 or higher has finished in the Top 5 home in nine of the ten last renewals but only two favourites have won and there's nothing to suggest that it will be any different this year.
Most pundits who've been giving their two cents worth have predictably gone with the shorter priced horses and with the exception of one or two 28/1 shots have stuck firmly to the favourites so I'm going to go the other way and only look at horses at 33/1 or more in the hopes that you can get a decent each-way return on your cash.
[SOdds Chance Du Roy]
A winner already this season over the Grand National fences when winning the Becher Chase back in December 2013. Yes it was a surprise but he still won it beating On His Own in the process. With the same jockey on board and loving the the ground Good-Soft, don't be surprised if he's in the mix at the finish.
[SOdds Mr Moonshine]
The Grand National winning trainer and jockey duo of Smith and Mania are out to do the near impossible which is to win back-to-back Grand Nationals with two different horses. Given that Mr Moonshine finished third in the Becher Chase, won the next two races carrying a tonne more than he will tomorrow he is in with a sterling chance.
[SOdds Raz De Maree]
Winner of the Cork Grand National Handicap Chase in 2012, Raz De Maree has won twice at 3m4f so more than capable of going the distance. Returned a win/place from five of 10 chase starts and trained by Dessie Hughes. Don't be fooled by recent form, if he wasn't ready and able Hughes would have taken him out!
[SOdds One In A Milan]
Trainer Evan Williams is either the luckiest or unluckiest Grand National trainer because for five consecutive renewals he's had a top five finisher but on the other hand he's never won it. This man knows how to train National horses and One In A Milan may have sketchy form but don't be fooled, he always pulls it out of the bag for the Nationals – 4th in the Welsh and 3rd in the Midlands.
[SOdds Twirling Magnet]
Jonjo O'Neill has one of the best records at the Aintree festival of any trainer and Twirling Magnet may be his secret weapon this year. Putting Richie McLernon on board was a signal of how highly he rates him, 10-05 is the lowest he'll ever run off and at four starts over 3m110ys he has won/placed in three of them.