Will AP Cause a Shutthefrontdoor Upset?

It may look like AP McCoy has the Grand National all but sewn up with many speculating that he will almost certainly partner the Jonjo O'Neill trained, and current race favourite, Shutthefrontdoor on the day but he hasn't made any decisions yet, could he or should he give serious consideration to riding the Gordon Elliott trained Cause Of Causes instead?

The 19-times champion announced his retirement at the end of season a few weeks ago but with no set date in mind, he has admitted that were he to win a second Grand National on April 11, he would step down then.

And speaking to Channel 4 Racing McCoy said: “I think it will probably be the right thing to do.

“I think I'll probably stop there and then.”

Cause Of Causes is very much an on-form horse winning last time out at Cheltenham over four miles in the National Hunt Chase and while he is well weighted and set to carry just 10-09, he is only seven years old and it's been 75 years since a horse that age won the Grand National.

On the other hand, Shutthefrontdoor is slightly older at eight years of age, and while still not considered the ideal age, he does stand a better chance of winning statistically. But he's had only one race this season – a chase of just over three miles with only five runners – and he has only run in six chases so is not as experienced as Cause of Causes who has run in 11 of them.

And if the decision wasn't difficult enough, Shutthefrontdoor is also set to carry more weight than Cause Of Causes but both are owned by JP McManus, who employs McCoy, and the plan is to school all of the options in the week running up to the Grand National 2015 before making a decision.

Though that decision may be taken out of his hands if Cause Of Causes runs in the Irish Grand National which is set to take place just five days before it's Aintree counterpart which would all but rule him out and younger horses have a better record in the Fairyhouse showpiece so connections will undoubtedly be considering all permutations before reaching any conclusions.

Either way, which ever horse he chooses will no doubt go off as the firm favourite for the race and with Shutthefrontdoor already as short as 8/1 in the Grand National Odds, it looks like he could go even lower if chosen, making him one of the shortest priced favourites in the races history.

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