Picking A National Horse

Horse land over fence.

The Grand National will be with us sooner than we think and as the most popular race in the calendar it is always a good exercise to go back to basics and look at the most important factors when selecting your bet.

In the past the National has been little more than a lottery however, over the past few years the reduction in the size of the obstacles has made the race more attractive to owners and the quality of runner has increased dramatically. This has made the event much more attractive to punters wishing for more than a fun bet and we can now serious look at the horses from a professional gamblers perspective.

The race does have some unique characteristics which influence the weighting we give to the usual factors including course, going, weights, jockey and trainer form before making our bet.

Firstly, we should consider the weight being carried. The official declaration of weights to be carried were recently made and both last year’s winner, Don’t Push It, and Neptune Collonges will be burdened with 11st 10lbs. This is significant given that Red Rum is the only horse in the past 50 years to have carried over 11st 5lbs to victory.

Those looking at the OLBG Grand National page should note that there has been a change in the ways that the weights are allocated but it is still a significant factor.

The age of the horse also tends to have an impact. Very few young horses, in this case considered to be seven year olds and younger, have had any impact n the race. The same can be said for horses in their teenage years.

In terms of form, it seem true that horses have had to win over a distance of three miles or more over hurdles to stand a chance whilst novices should be avoided.

Whilst there are many more factors in play, these simple rules will help to narrow down a large field for those looking for a good chance of Grand National success.