A few weeks ago, on our Grand National facebook page, I joked about the chances of Tidal Bay winning the 2013 Grand National to which some of our friends comprehensively shot me down telling me he didn't have a chance in hell and for all of the usual reasons – he's too old, he'll be too heavy etc…
And, in part, I do agree as he'll be 12 years old and most likely will be given one of the top weights for the 2013 Grand National by the BHA Handicapper when he dishes them out in early February but…and it's a big BUT…he just can't seem to stop winning and I can't help but wonder if he heads to Aintree, in the form he's in, if he couldn't give trainer Paul Nicholls his second consecutive win and cause a major upset on the day??
Case in point being his recent trip to Leopardstown for the Lexus Chase. Short odds but not the favourite and in incredibly testing and soft conditions he simply stormed on over the three miles, jumped well over the 17 fences and with Ruby Walsh on board was unstoppable.
He was 2nd in the Hennessy Gold Cup at Newbury a month ago, won the John Smiths Hurdle at Wetherby a month earlier, and finished last season with a win in the Bet365 Gold Cup Chase at Sandown and this season alone has earned nearly £170K for trainer Paul Nicholls.
Paddy Power have him ante-post at 25/1 and although he's officially entered into the Coral Welsh National on Saturday January 5th, after it was re-scheduled, I don't think he's going to run and instead rest up and possibly get an entry into the 2013 Grand National, wait for the weights and go from there.
But at 25/1 I'm seriously considering sticking a fiver each-way on him – after all, Nicholls did it with Neptune Collonges – there's no reason why he couldn't do it again with Tidal Bay!