In what used to be a race that could throw up some very long odds winners, the Grand National is now so big that the money going on the horses can alter the odds so significantly as to represent absolutely no value at all for the once a year punter who just like sto put a few quid on the National.
Still with a couple of days to go, the top four horses in the betting markets are all less than 11/1 in a race so notoriously difficult that only 11 favourites have won in the last 100 years so is there any value to be had this year?
Actually, I think that there are a few horses that have decent odds that could throw a spanner in the works on Saturday and though I can’t offer any guarantees as to their chances of actually winning, nobody can, it should certainly give you something to think about before you rush off and stick your hard earned money on a 7/1!
Let’s start with Joncol. An experienced chaser who will carry an ideal weight, is only 10 years old and with a Grand National winning jockey on board – Robbie Power. Currently to be had at 50/1 my money has already gone on him even if he has never run outside of Ireland – Seabass hadn’t wither when he romped home in 3rd place last year!
[Racecard Roberto Goldback]
At 33/1 Roberto Goldback has been seriously under estimated. Trained by Nicky Henderson who is desperate to win his first Grand National and has Barry Geraghty on board you could do a lot worse then backing him with a few quid each-way.
[Racecard Always Waining]
A three time Topham Chase winner over the Grand National fences and he’s still 33/1. This horse was born to run at Aintree and of course some may say that at 12 years of age he’s too old but that’s just stats talking and ultimately taking this horse on his merits with a decent weight of 10-10 and there’s real value in an each-way bet.
[Racecard The Rainbow Hunter]
A classy horse that’s being highly prepped and praised by his trainer, The Rainbow Hunter at 66/1 is phenomenally good value for those looking for a long shot to place. Nine years old, great jockey in Aidan Coleman on board, decent weight of 10-06, an Ascot winner and trained by the incredibly talented Kim Bailey.
[Racecard Lost Glory]
Don’t be fooled into thinking that Jonjo O’Neill has put all his Grand National eggs into the Sunnyhillboy basket – Lost Glory maybe 8 years old but five wins from 9 chase starts plus two places and only carrying 10-08 and suddenly this 66/1 is starting to look very good for the each-way bet!!
So that’s at least five solid each-way chances for those looking for the long shot for the 2013 Grand National. Remember nearly every year at least one of the top 5 places goes to a complete an utter outsider – 100/1 In Compliance finished 5th last year!