The Randox Health Grand National is just a couple of months away (14th April), but already punters, tipsters and bookmakers are weighing up the potential contenders. A final field of 40 runners (and a few reserves) will be announced a couple of days before the race. However, early-odds are now available for some of the likely runners. The current ante-post favourites are highlighted below:
|Horse:||Odds:||Trainer:||Last Year’s Finish:|
|Minella Rocco||20/1||Jonjo O’Neill||DNR|
|Native River||20/1||Colin Tizzard||DNR|
|The Last Samuri||25/1||Kim Bailey||16th|
|Cause of Causes||25/1||Gordon Elliott||2nd|
|Total Recall||25/1||Willie Mullins||DNR|
|Presenting Percy||25/1||Peter Kelly||DNR|
The above table shows the current odds for the leading bets for William Hill’s Grand National ante-post market. There are dozens of other runners offered by William Hill and other bookmakers. If you want to take advantage of promotions and the value of early prices, check out the latest 2018 Grand National free bets by Freebets.co.uk.
One name not regularly mentioned among the contenders for the Grand National is an excellent 9-year-old trained by Sandy Thomson – Seeyouatmidnight. The horse has not be in action for just under a year, but has been declared fit by Thomson after a wind operation. The current odds for Seeyouatmidnight are 50/1. That could be incredible value, especially as Seeyouatmidnight ticks many of the boxes for desirable criteria in the key trends for a Grand National Winner:
Seeyouatmidnight has had 15 races, with seven of those resulting in wins. This represents a strike rate of 46.67%. Compare that to last year’s winner, One For Arthur (36.84%) or this year’s favourite, Blaklion (37.75%). Punters must remember that many bookmakers offer extra places in the each-way markets for the National, so his record of 80% finishing first, second or third in all races is also very appealing with that 50/1 price.
A majority of horses who succeed in the Grand National will have in the past demonstrated that they can handle the trip, preferably in another National of 4 miles or longer. Seeyouatmidnight finished a credible 3rd place in the Scottish Grand National 2016. He also finished 3rd in his only race at Aintree – the Grade 1 Sefton Novices’ Hurdle (2014).
You will have to go all the way back to 1923 to find the last teenager to win a Grand National (Sergeant Murphy) and 1940 for the last winner aged under 8 (Bogskar). The mean age for the last 10 Grand National winners is 9.6-years-old. Seeyouatmidnight is 9, so that also bodes well for his chances.
Don’t Let the Odds Put You Off:
It is a natural inclination for punters to be put off by big odds, thinking that something must be amiss with the horse’s chances. The Grand National should always be excepted from this line of thought. Six of the last ten winners have been priced at 25/1 or over. Mon Mome’s victory in 2009 was priced at a whopping 100/1. Seeyouatmidnight at 50/1 would not be a huge shock therefore.
The Last Word:
There will be no end of analysis and debate over potential Grand National winners over the coming weeks. However, Seeyouatmidnight might just slip quietly by unnoticed. If, and it is likely, he has a win or decent performance before the Grand National, those odds of 50/1 might not be available for long.