Tiger Roll is aiming to emulate Red Rum by winning back-to-back Grand Nationals. And there is perhaps no other horse in training more fitting of completing a feat like that. Tiger Roll is one of the most loved horses around at the moment. So it will be no surprise to see him well backed for National glory once again.
He could not have been more impressive at Cheltenham, winning the Cross Country Chase with ease. That came after a solid Grade Two hurdle win, and he appears to be in even better form than when winning the big one last season. However, there is a big question mark hanging over him in terms of value. This is a very competitive race and one in which you need a lot of luck to negotiate the course before you can even think about winning. Yet he is a very short price to win the race again.
There is a good chance that the horse will decrease in price even further on the day of the race. Casual fans of the race will remember his win from last season and jumping on him to win again. Regardless of the price! Their money combined with the money from horse racing enthusiasts who saw how easily he won at Cheltenham could easily create a starting price for Tiger Roll of around 4/1. This would make him the shortest priced favourite for the race in living memory.
With this, it would make sense for punters to look elsewhere for value. That begins with the bigger priced outsiders. Alpha Des Obeaux is a horse mentioned by those giving insider tips Grand National and he is certainly one to consider. This horse has not developed as hoped, but he is still a top quality animal. Plus he has vital course form after running in the race last year.
He fell that time around, but that was his only mistake in the race. Aside from that, he showed the ability to jump these big fences. Going back a few years, this horse was chasing home Thistlecrack in his prime, and even though that was over hurdles, that is obviously an exceptional piece of form.
As the race approaches, it is these kinds of horses that are forgotten about and where the value lies. People will continue to talk about Tiger Roll as he won the race last year. Or about Anibale Fly, who ran so well in the Cheltenham Gold Cup. But these two have already been well backed and they now offer little value at their current prices.
Instead of jumping on board with those horses at this late stage, punters should be looking for value from the outsiders and looking for forgotten horses such as Alpha Des Obeaux. He may not have shown his very best recently, but we have seen many horses bounce back and thrive in a Grand National, and he could be the horse to do it this season.