People will tell you that picking a 2021 Grand National winner is a lottery, they’ll say that on the day any one of the 40 runners could win. In some respects that statement is true, the National remains one of the most open races in the world. In fact, the first-ever winner (1839) was called ‘Lottery’, appropriately enough.
But this belief isn’t borne out by the stats. In fact, by looking down the list of winners over the past 40 years – you can spot patterns that will help narrow the field of runners down to a shortlist of entrants who have the right stuff to triumph at Aintree.